Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.225794 0.243138 0.261495 0.282426 0.305697 0.330852 0.360202
2025-12-21 0.191645 0.215767 0.242909 0.275947 0.315392 0.361382 0.419661
2025-12-28 0.176515 0.205171 0.238884 0.281975 0.336335 0.403666 0.495050
2026-01-04 0.164514 0.195979 0.234303 0.285237 0.352445 0.440030 0.566203
2026-01-11 0.153896 0.187012 0.228504 0.285465 0.363551 0.469901 0.631489
2026-01-18 0.142977 0.176523 0.219521 0.280134 0.365900 0.487162 0.680131
2026-01-25 0.132751 0.166061 0.209570 0.272284 0.363457 0.496614 0.717392
2026-02-01 0.124900 0.158142 0.202331 0.267370 0.364385 0.510582 0.762981
2026-02-08 0.117593 0.150458 0.194819 0.261322 0.362813 0.520140 0.802044
2026-02-15 0.111670 0.144299 0.188984 0.257159 0.363527 0.533043 0.848272
2026-02-22 0.108496 0.141749 0.188031 0.260057 0.375303 0.564953 0.933431
2026-03-01 0.104356 0.137587 0.184465 0.258639 0.379890 0.585003 0.999160
2026-03-08 0.100382 0.133581 0.181062 0.257490 0.385242 0.607746 1.076043
2026-03-15 0.095493 0.128035 0.175102 0.251938 0.382770 0.616288 1.125530
2026-03-22 0.093806 0.127076 0.175941 0.257285 0.399425 0.662103 1.265197
2026-03-29 0.091634 0.125266 0.175342 0.260167 0.411902 0.701418 1.399150
2026-04-05 0.088992 0.122609 0.173258 0.260368 0.419442 0.731757 1.518551
2026-04-12 0.085429 0.118391 0.168494 0.255661 0.417360 0.741900 1.588471
2026-04-19 0.081610 0.113630 0.162649 0.248723 0.410449 0.740961 1.628506
2026-04-26 0.078580 0.109979 0.158425 0.244376 0.408191 0.749869 1.698413
2026-05-03 0.075521 0.106171 0.153785 0.239020 0.403517 0.752859 1.752060
2026-05-10 0.072976 0.103081 0.150189 0.235330 0.401877 0.762566 1.828736
2026-05-17 0.071809 0.102125 0.150058 0.237899 0.413125 0.803699 2.016644